Retirement Planning

When Can I Retire? A Simple Calculator

Three numbers. One formula. Find out when you can realistically retire.

14 January 20265 min read

The Three Numbers You Need

To calculate when you can retire, you only need three numbers:

  1. Current savings - What you have now
  2. Monthly savings - What you add each month
  3. Monthly expenses - What you spend (or will spend in retirement)

That's it. Everything else is detail.

The Formula

FIRE Number = Annual Expenses × 25

Years to FIRE = (FIRE Number - Current Savings) ÷ (Annual Savings + Investment Growth)

Let's make this concrete.

Example Calculation

Your situation:

  • Current savings: $200,000
  • Monthly savings: $2,000 ($24,000/year)
  • Monthly expenses: $4,000 ($48,000/year)

Step 1: Calculate your FIRE number

$48,000 × 25 = $1,200,000

Step 2: Calculate the gap

$1,200,000 - $200,000 = $1,000,000 to go

Step 3: Factor in growth

With 7% average returns and $24,000/year contributions:

  • Year 5: ~$450,000
  • Year 10: ~$800,000
  • Year 13: ~$1,200,000

Result: ~13 years to FIRE

Quick Reference

If you're starting from $100,000:

  • Save $1,000/mo, spend $3,000/mo → 25 years to FIRE
  • Save $1,500/mo, spend $3,000/mo → 20 years to FIRE
  • Save $2,000/mo, spend $3,000/mo → 16 years to FIRE
  • Save $2,500/mo, spend $3,000/mo → 13 years to FIRE
  • Save $2,000/mo, spend $4,000/mo → 21 years to FIRE
  • Save $3,000/mo, spend $4,000/mo → 15 years to FIRE
  • Save $2,000/mo, spend $5,000/mo → 25 years to FIRE
  • Save $4,000/mo, spend $5,000/mo → 14 years to FIRE

The Levers You Can Pull

1. Save More

Every $500/month extra shaves 2-4 years off your timeline.

2. Spend Less

Cutting $500/month from expenses does two things:

  • Frees up $500/month for savings
  • Reduces your FIRE number by $150,000

Double impact.

3. Earn More

Higher income only helps if you save the difference (not spend it).

4. Relocate

Moving to a lower-cost area can be the biggest lever:

  • $6,000/month expenses = $1,800,000 FIRE number
  • $2,928/month expenses (Portugal) = $878,400 FIRE number

That's potentially 10+ years difference.

Learn more about geographic arbitrage in our cheapest countries to retire abroad guide.

First need to understand how much you actually need? Read How Much Money Do I Need to Retire?

What About Social Security / State Pension?

If you'll receive guaranteed income in retirement, subtract it from your expenses.

Example:

  • Expenses: $4,000/month ($48,000/year)
  • Social Security: $1,500/month ($18,000/year)
  • Gap to fund: $2,500/month ($30,000/year)
  • FIRE Number: $30,000 × 25 = $750,000 (not $1.2M)

Government pensions effectively reduce your required savings by hundreds of thousands.

The Savings Rate Shortcut

Your savings rate predicts years to FIRE regardless of income:

  • 10% savings rate: 51 years to FIRE
  • 20% savings rate: 37 years to FIRE
  • 30% savings rate: 28 years to FIRE
  • 40% savings rate: 22 years to FIRE
  • 50% savings rate: 17 years to FIRE
  • 60% savings rate: 12 years to FIRE
  • 70% savings rate: 8 years to FIRE

Calculate your savings rate:

Monthly Savings ÷ Monthly Income × 100 = Savings Rate %

Try It Now

Grab a pen:

  1. Your current retirement savings: $__________
  2. Your monthly savings: $__________
  3. Your monthly expenses: $__________
  4. Your FIRE number (expenses × 12 × 25): $__________
  5. The gap (FIRE number - current savings): $__________

Now you know where you stand.

Want a More Detailed Answer?

This calculation assumes:

  • 7% average investment returns
  • 3% inflation
  • 30-year retirement
  • 4% withdrawal rate

Real life has more variables: different return assumptions, social security timing, pension access ages, tax implications, and more.

For a personalized calculation that factors in all of this, use our free tool.


Ready for your personalized retirement date? Take our free 2-minute quiz and see exactly when you could retire.

Disclaimer: This article is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, tax, investment, or legal advice. The information presented may not reflect your personal circumstances, and projections are based on simplified assumptions that may not accurately predict future outcomes. Always consult qualified professionals before making important financial decisions. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Want to Explore Your Numbers?

Try our free 2-minute quiz to get a rough estimate of your retirement timeline. Remember: this is for exploration only, not advice.